Tuesday, January 1, 2008

Weather Update

We're still a long way out from the Houston Marathon and the long range weather forecast really isn't much more than a wild guess, but I enjoy tracking the forecast.

The 16 day model forecast for Houston Marathon day now shows cold air not arriving until late on the 12th [the graph is in UTC, six hours ahead of Houston]. The weather through the 11th looks pretty bad, warm and humid with the dewpoint above 60. Marathon morning now has temperature in the 30s, a strong North wind at 20 mph, and a chance of freezing rain.....I'm glad it's just a long range forecast. And if you believe that's exactly what's going to happen, I know of some swampland in Matagorda County....

AccuWeather has Saturday night and Sunday on their 15 day forecast. They predict:

Saturday Night, Jan 12
Low: 31 °F RealFeel®: 16 °F
Very cold with rain, which can freeze on surfaces late

Sunday, Jan 13
High: 50 °F RealFeel®: 46 °F
Periods of rain and freezing rain

For the record, here's the climate data around Houston Marathon day:
Jan 11 Average High/Low 62/41; Record Max 81 1995; Record Low Max 30 1962; Record Low 12 1982; Record Hi Min 69 1995; Record Precip 1.77 1934
Jan 12 Average High/Low 62/41; Record Max 81 2000; Record Low Max 37 1985; Record Low 17 1962; Record Hi Min 68 2007; Record Precip 1.93 1944
Jan 13 Average High/Low 62/41; Record Max 81 1935; Record Low Max 32 1996; Record Low 20 1973; Record Hi Min 68 1965; Record Precip 1.53 1967
Jan 14 Average High/Low 62/41; Record Max 82 1971; Record Low Max 42 1964; Record Low 19 1982; Record Hi Min 63 1965; Record Precip 0.90 1946
Jan 15 Average High/Low 62/41; Record Max 79 1996; Record Low Max 42 1984; Record Low 23 1979; Record Hi Min 61 1968; Record Precip 1.78 1974
The record high minimum temperatures are the ones that worry me. I hope we don't see anything close to those warm minimums.

A general aerobic 9 mile run for me today. I might have pushed the pace a little too hard, 6:40 average pace. Back to work tomorrow.

Why does Rice play Texas?

No comments: