T-6 & M-7 OT and Houston Marathon Weather Forecasts

Today's Men's OT video is Meb training in California.

I'll be cheering for Meb; we bald guys need to stick together.

It was warm and humid again today. The NWS discussion indicates some real Canadian air will finally be coming down to the Gulf, just in time for race weekend:
THE EXTENDED FORECAST HAS COME INTO A LITTLE BETTER AGREEMENT. LONG WAVE TROUGH LOOKS TO DEEPEN OVER THE MIDWEST BY 12Z THU. NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL SUPPORT A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO THE AREA. ECMWF/GFS NOW HAVE THE FRONT PUSHING OFF THE COAST BY 12Z THU WITH SFC HIGH OVER THE AREA BY FRI MORNING. HAVE LOWERED TEMPS ACROSS THE BOARD WITH STRONG COLD ADVECTION THU AND THE SFC HIGH OVER THE AREA FRI. MAY HAVE A SHORTWAVE OR TWO PUSH BY THE AREA THU/FRI SO WILL KEEP SOME CLOUD COVER IN THE FORECAST AS WELL. MODELS BRING BACK SOME MOISTURE NEXT WEEKEND SO WILL GO WITH 20 POPS ON DAY 8. LOOKS LIKE THE END OF NEXT WEEK WILL FEATURE BELOW NORMAL TEMPS FOR A CHANGE AND FEEL MORE LIKE WINTER.

The 7.5-day model still has the temperature in the 40°Fs with a very light north wind for the OTs. Sunday morning starts warmer near 50 with a stronger east wind, a chance of rain and very little warmup during the day. The text version of the GFSX MOS model for Hobby Airport shows a much colder low of 34°F and stronger winds (10 mph) Saturday morning and a low of 42°F and winds at 9 mph Sunday morning.



The hourly forecast now shows conditions for the OTs and the start of the marathon Sunday. It shows a colder morning low temperature at 34°F, dew point at 29°F, and a north-northeast wind at 7 mph. At 10AM, it shows 44°F, dew point at 31°F, and a northeast wind at 7 mph. For 7AM Sunday, the forecast shows 38°F, dew point at 36°F, and a east-northeast wind at 6 mph.


The Weather Channel tends to weight their long term predictions with seasonal averages. For Friday night they show:
Overnight Low 37°F
Precip 10%
Wind: N 5 mph
Max. Humidity: 69%
Partly Cloudy


For Saturday they show:
High 56°F
Precip 10%
Wind: NNE 8 mph
Max. Humidity: 63%
UV Index: 4 Moderate
Sunrise: 7:18 AM CT
Partly Cloudy

For Saturday night they show:
Overnight Low 41°F
Precip 50%
Wind: NNE 4 mph
Max. Humidity: 76%
Showers

For Sunday they show:
High 53°F
Precip 40%
Wind: NNE 8 mph
Max. Humidity: 65%
UV Index: 4 Moderate
Sunrise: 7:18 AM CT
Showers



AccuWeather has Saturday night and Sunday on their 6 to 10 day forecast. They predict:

Friday Night, Jan 13
Low: 36°F RealFeel®: 26°F
Clear
Winds N at 14 mph with gusts to 23

Saturday, Jan 14
High: 57°F RealFeel®: 55°F
Sunny
Winds NNW at 12 mph with gusts to 23

Saturday Night, Jan 14
Low: 37°F RealFeel®: 33°F
Clear
Winds N at 10 mph with gusts to 19

Sunday, Jan 15
High: 59°F RealFeel®: 57°F
Cloudy
Winds N at 10 mph with gusts to 24

Today's video for the woman's OT race is Jen Rhines:

Watch more video of Jen Rhines on flotrack.org

Here are some projections for the OT race. I don't believe it's such a sure thing as theat poll would have you believe.