Thursday, January 12, 2012

Getting Close - Houston and OT Marathon

Here's a slick video of Jason Lehmkule and Team USA Minnesota:

Marathon Road from Paul Sanft on Vimeo.



The forecast continues to show more Gulf air coming in this weekend, but the cold Canadian air that arrived today seems strong enough to keep conditions very good both Saturday and Sunday.
WOULD EXPECT ANOTHER COLD NIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. WITH SOME SLIGHT MODIFICATION OF THE AIR MASS SHOWN BY THE MODEL...WILL GO WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING. A WARM UP WILL THEN BEGIN LATER SATURDAY AS ONSHORE WINDS DEVELOP.
THE MODELS ARE THEN SIMILAR WITH THE PATTERN OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT FORMS OVERHEAD AS WARM AIR AND MOISTURE ADVECTION INCREASE SUNDAY AND MONDAY.


The 84-hour model has the temperature just above 40°F with a west wind at 6 mph for the OTs and no rain. The model has Sunday morning in the upper 40s a south wind less than 6 mph and with an increasing warmth humidity during the day. The text version of the GFSX MOS model for Hobby Airport still shows a much colder low of 34°F with the 'wind' at 1 mph Saturday morning and a low of 47°F and wind at 3 mph Sunday morning.





The hourly forecast still shows a cooler morning low temperature at 33°F, dew point at 26°F, and a west 'wind' at 1 mph. At 10AM, it shows 45°F, dew point at 27°F, and a west-southwest "wind" at 2 mph. For 7AM Sunday, the forecast shows 44°F, dew point at 36°F, and a east-southeast wind at 1 mph and at 10AM, it shows 53°F, dew point at 41°F, and a east-southeast wind at 7 mph. Saturday is still nearly perfect, and Sunday is still very good and the prediction hasn't warmed up to much from yesterday's forecast.

The Weather Channel tends to weight their long term predictions with seasonal averages. For Saturday they show:
8AM
41°F, Feels Like 39°F
Precip 0%
Wind: W 3 mph
Humidity: 62%
Sunny

10AM
50°F, Feels Like 49°F
Precip 0%
Wind: WSW 4 mph
Humidity: 46%
Sunny

For Saturday night they show:

Overnight Low 425F
Precip 0%
Wind: S 3 mph
Max. Humidity: 66%
Partly Cloudy

For Sunday they show:
High 68°F
Precip 10%
Wind: SSE 9 mph
Humidity: 68%
UV Index: 3 Moderate
Sunrise: 7:18 AM CT
Mostly Cloudy



AccuWeather has Saturday night and Sunday on their 15 day forecast. They predict:

Friday Night, Jan 13
Low: 38°F RealFeel®: 37°F
Mostly Cloudy
Winds E at 5 mph with gusts to 8

Saturday, Jan 14
8AM
40°F RealFeel®: 41°F
Dew Point 23°F
Mostly Sunny
Winds SW at 2 mph

10AM
50°F RealFeel®: 56°F
Dew Point 25°F
Mostly Sunny
Winds SW at 3 mph


Sunday, Jan 15

7AM
47°F RealFeel®: 42°F
Dew Point 36°F
Partly Cloudy
Winds ESE at 7 mph

9AM
50°F RealFeel®: 47°F
Dew Point 38°F
Partly Sunny
Winds ESE at 8 mph

10AM
54°F RealFeel®: 53°F
Dew Point 39°F
Partly Sunny
Winds ESE at 8 mph


11AM
57°F RealFeel®: 57°F
Dew Point 39°F
Partly Sunny
Winds ESE at 8 mph

Here's Runner's World's review of the top men and the top women

Here's a video of Kara Goucher:


MEN
1. 2:04:58 Ryan Hall (CA) 2011 Boston Marathon
2. 2:09:13 Meb Keflezighi (CA) 2011 New York City Marathon
3. 2:10:00 Dathan Ritzenhein (OR) 2009 London Marathon
4. 2:10:36 Brett Gotcher (AZ) 2010 Houston Marathon
5. 2:11:06 Jason Hartmann (OR) 2010 Chicago Marathon
6. 2:11:30 Nick Arciniaga (AZ) 2011 Houston Marathon
7. 2:11:46 Ed Moran (VA) 2011 New York City Marathon
8. 2:12:24 Jason Lehmkuhle (MN) 2010 Boston Marathon
9. 2:13:00 Jorge Torres (CO) 2009 New York City Marathon
10. 2:13:12 Jeffrey Eggleston (AZ) 2011 Grandma's Marathon
11. 2:13:28 Matthew Gabrielson (MN) 2011 Grandma's Marathon
12. 2:13:47 Antonio Vega (MN) 2010 Boston Marathon


WOMEN
1. 2:22:38 Desiree Davila (MI) 2011 Boston Marathon
2. 2:24:52 Kara Goucher (OR) 2011 Boston Marathon
3. 2:26:22 Magdalena Lewy Boulet (CA)2010 Fortis Marathon Rotterdam
4. 2:27:03 Amy Hastings (CA) 2011 LA Marathon
5. 2:28:40 Shalane Flanagan (OR) 2010 New York Marathon
6. 2:29:35 Stephanie Rothstein (AZ) 2011 Houston Marathon
7. 2:29:54 Clara Grandt (WV) 2011 Boston Marathon
8. 2:30:51 Colleen De Reuck (CO) 2010 Copenhagen Marathon
9. 2:30:53 Tera Moody (CO) 2010 Chicago Marathon
10. 2:31:01 Katie McGregor (MN) 2010 New York City Marathon
11. 2:31:48 Dot McMahan (MI) 2011 Grandma's Marathon
12. 2:31:49 Ilsa Paulson (NY) 2009 USA Women's Marathon Championships

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