Sunday, January 23, 2011

Week 17

Here's my seventeenth week of training for Houston '11:

69 miles for the week (January 17th to 23rd)

M: 12 at 7:07 mpm, 50ºF at 5AM went to work late after working late Sunday night
Tu: 7¼ at 8:27 mpm, 60ºF at 3:45AM
W AM: 7¼ at 7:00 mpm, 48ºF at 4AM
W PM: 5¼ overall average 7:01 with 3x1Mile/440rec (Miles in 5:58, 5:56, and 5:52), 57ºF at 7PM
Th: 6¾ at 8:15 mpm, 59ºF at 4AM
F: 10 at 6:57 mpm, 44ºF at 2PM
Sa: 7½ at 8:09 mpm, 53ºF at 2PM
Su: 13 at 7:00mpm, 64ºF at 1PM

I was happy with Wednesday's mile repeats until I saw I ran the same workout a couple years ago with the miles at 5:48.

There is some question now about the timing of the cold front next weekend. Today's NWS discussion talks about the uncertainty for Marathon Sunday:

THE REST OF THE WEEK LOOKS DRY AND COOL WITH A SERIES OF REINFORCING COLD FRONTS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. WE COULD SEE SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AS WE HEAD ON INTO NEXT WEEKEND BEFORE THE PASSAGE OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THIS FRONT REMAINS VERY UNCERTAIN DUE TO DIFFERING MODEL SOLUTIONS.

The 7.5-day model includes marathon morning [the graph is in UTC, six hours ahead of Houston] the temperature about 50°F and a light south-southeast wind. The text version of the MRF model. shows a low of 49°F and wind at 8mph in the morning.




The Weather Channel tends to weight their long term predictions with seasonal averages. For Saturday night they show:
Overnight Low 44°F
Precip 30%
Wind: NE 4 mph
Max. Humidity: 70%
Scattered Showers


For Sunday they show:
High 61°F
Precip 30%
Wind: NNE 10 mph
Max. Humidity: 59%
UV Index: 4 Moderate
Sunrise: 7:13 AM CT
Scattered Showers


AccuWeather has Saturday night and Sunday on their 6 to 10 day forecast. They predict a much stronger cold front:

Saturday Night, Jan 29
Low: 39 °F RealFeel®: 35°F
Cloudy
Winds NNE at 11mph with gusts to 17

Sunday, Jan 30
High: 59°F RealFeel®: 56°F
Mostly Cloudy
Winds N at 10 mph with gusts to 25

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