I ran my last long run today, 17 miles. It was warm and sunny, 66 degrees when I started just after noon, but the dewpoint was in the 30s so it was s super day for a long run. I started out at about 7:15mpm and picked up to 6:45 for the bulk of the run and about 6:20 for the last couple of miles. Overall average pace was 6:47 with a 151bpm heart rate.
The 16 day model forecast for Houston Marathon day now shows some warm humid air infiltration marathon day, but it still looks good for the morning. The weather through the 9th still looks pretty bad, warm and humid with the dewpoint above 60. And if you believe that's exactly what's going to happen, I have some swampland in Matagorda County....
AccuWeather has Saturday night and Sunday on their 15 day forecast. They predict:
Saturday Night, Jan 12
Low: 40 °F RealFeel®: 35 °F
Considerable clouds
Sunday, Jan 13
High: 52 °F RealFeel®: 47 °F
Rain
For the record, here's the climate data around Houston Marathon day:
Jan 11 Average High/Low 62/41; Record Max 81 1995; Record Low Max 30 1962; Record Low 12 1982; Record Hi Min 69 1995; Record Precip 1.77 1934
Jan 12 Average High/Low 62/41; Record Max 81 2000; Record Low Max 37 1985; Record Low 17 1962; Record Hi Min 68 2007; Record Precip 1.93 1944
Jan 13 Average High/Low 62/41; Record Max 81 1935; Record Low Max 32 1996; Record Low 20 1973; Record Hi Min 68 1965; Record Precip 1.53 1967
Jan 14 Average High/Low 62/41; Record Max 82 1971; Record Low Max 42 1964; Record Low 19 1982; Record Hi Min 63 1965; Record Precip 0.90 1946
Jan 15 Average High/Low 62/41; Record Max 79 1996; Record Low Max 42 1984; Record Low 23 1979; Record Hi Min 61 1968; Record Precip 1.78 1974
The record high minimum temperatures are the ones that worry me. I hope we don't see anything close to those warm minimums.
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2 comments:
Hey Kevin-
I'm enjoying the weather updates. I would certainly be thrilled with low to mid-40's temps for us that morning. That would be really nice.
I have also enjoyed looking through your old training log and some of your old posts. I was especially interested in how much you have improved in the marathon over the years. Really impressive.
Whose plan do you follow and what was your running history before you started marathons?
Thanks.
I'm following the Pfitzinger 18 week over 70mpw plan. I ran High School Cross Country and Track. I ran for fun in college. I started the 1980 Texas Relays Marathon in Austin but DNFd after 17 miles. After college I was on a submarine, but I ran when we were ashore. After I got out of the active duty navy, my children were young, so for several years I only ran on weekend mornings. In 1995 my sister signed my name on a NYC marathon application. That was my first completed marathon. I've been racing pretty regularly since then.
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